Research Divisions

Evaluates frontier AI systems, maps how critical infrastructure depends on them, and assesses technological risk. Runs the Frontier System Evaluation Program and provides computational modeling support across the Department, including for ICSM and NCRP.

Owns the Integrated Civilizational Systems Model (ICSM) and issues the Civilizational Systems Outlook series. Studies how failures propagate between energy, food, finance, supply chains, governance and other systems. Runs the Integrated Systems Modeling Program.

Conducts the Department’s research in computational neuroscience, connectomics and cognitive preservation. Leads the Neural Continuity Research Program and stewards the Neural Data Preservation Framework, under review of every protocol by the Research Ethics Review Board.

Builds and operates the Department’s three Continuity Research Facilities in southern Nevada, the Colorado Front Range and interior Alaska. Leads the Continuity Infrastructure Initiative and the Long-Duration Information Preservation Program, including power, cooling and archival engineering.

Studies forecasting methodology, decision-making under deep uncertainty, multi-decade continuity planning and the design of long-lived institutions. Runs the Long-Term Forecasting Program and contributes to the Department’s work on identity, preservation and systemic risk.